Market Volatility Continues as Tariffs Delayed

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#market #tariffs #trade war

Stock futures fall after Trump says tariffs will go into effect on Aug. 1, not July 9: Live updates - CNBC

Introduction

On Friday, Wall Street ended on a high with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reaching all-time highs. However, the optimism took a hit on Tuesday when U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the tariffs on Chinese goods will not go into effect on July 9 as previously expected. Instead, they will be implemented on August 1. This news sent stock futures tumbling, indicating a rough start for the market in the coming weeks.

Background

The trade tensions between the United States and China have been ongoing for over a year now. The two countries have been locked in a trade war, with both imposing tariffs on each other’s goods. This has caused uncertainty and volatility in the market, with investors closely monitoring the situation.

Current Scenario

The delay in the implementation of tariffs sent a negative signal to investors and businesses. The market had already factored in the July 9 deadline and was anticipating a resolution before the G20 summit at the end of the month. However, the trade talks seem to have hit a roadblock, leading to the postponement of the tariffs.

This news has also affected the Chinese stock market, with the Shanghai Composite index falling by 0.9% and the Shenzhen Composite index dropping by 1.2%. The delay in tariffs has also led to a decline in the Chinese yuan, with the currency reaching its lowest level in over a month.

Impact on the Market

The uncertainty and unpredictability of the trade war have caused significant volatility in the market. The delay in tariffs has added to this uncertainty, leading to a downward trend in stock futures. The market will closely watch for any developments in the trade talks and their impact on the global economy.

Conclusion

The market will open on Wednesday after the holiday-shortened week with a cautious approach. The delay in tariffs has added to the already fragile state of the market, and investors will be closely monitoring any updates on the trade talks. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining the direction of the market, and investors will need to stay informed and prepared for any potential impact on their investments.

About the People Mentioned

Donald Trump

Donald John Trump, born June 14, 1946, in Queens, New York, is an American businessman, media personality, and politician. He graduated from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School in 1968 with a degree in economics. In 1971, he took over his family’s real estate business, renaming it the Trump Organization, through which he expanded into building and managing skyscrapers, hotels, casinos, and golf courses. Trump gained widespread fame as the host of the reality TV show *The Apprentice* from 2004 to 2015, which helped establish his public persona as a successful entrepreneur. Trump entered politics as a Republican and was elected the 45th president of the United States, serving from 2017 to 2021. His presidency was marked by significant policy actions including tax cuts, deregulation, the appointment of three Supreme Court justices, renegotiation of trade agreements (notably replacing NAFTA with the USMCA), and a focus on immigration control including border wall expansion. He withdrew the U.S. from international agreements such as the Paris Climate Accord and the Iran nuclear deal, and engaged in a trade war with China. His administration’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic was criticized for downplaying the virus’s severity. Trump was impeached twice by the House of Representatives—first in 2019 for abuse of power and obstruction, and again in 2021 for incitement of insurrection—but was acquitted by the Senate both times. After losing the 2020 election to Joe Biden, Trump challenged the results, culminating in the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot. He remains a central figure in American politics, having won the 2024 presidential election and returned as the 47th president in 2025, continuing to promote policies aimed at economic growth, border security, and military strength[1][2][3][4].

About the Organizations Mentioned

S&P 500

The S&P 500, officially known as the Standard & Poor’s 500, is a revered stock market index tracking the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States[1]. Managed by S&P Dow Jones Indices—a joint venture majority-owned by S&P Global—the S&P 500 is widely recognized as a leading barometer of the U.S. stock market and, by extension, the broader economy[1][7]. It accounts for roughly 80% of the total market capitalization of U.S. public companies, with an aggregate value exceeding $57 trillion as of August 2025[1]. The index is weighted by market capitalization, meaning larger companies exert a greater influence on its movements[1][2]. Its top holdings include tech giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, and Alphabet, which together represent a significant portion of the index’s total value[1]. ## History and Evolution The S&P 500 traces its origins to 1923, when the Standard Statistics Company (later becoming Standard & Poor’s) launched an index of 233 companies[3]. In 1957, it expanded to include approximately 500 companies, formalizing the structure familiar today[3]. Over the decades, the index has evolved into a cornerstone of global finance, reflecting the dynamism of the U.S. economy and the rise of sectors like technology, healthcare, and consumer goods. ## Purpose and Impact The S&P 500 serves multiple critical roles: it is a benchmark for investment portfolios, a basis for passive index funds and ETFs, and a key input for economic forecasting tools like the Conference Board Leading Economic Index[1][6]. For companies, inclusion in the S&P 500 is prestigious and financially impactful, often triggering significant buying activity as funds tracking the index adjust their holdings[2]. For investors, the index offers a convenient, diversified exposure to the U.S. equity market through index funds and ETFs[4

Nasdaq Composite

The **Nasdaq Composite** is a prominent stock market index that tracks the performance of over 3,000 common stocks listed exclusively on the Nasdaq Stock Market, making it one of the broadest and most widely followed indices in the United States[1][2][5]. Established on February 1, 1971, the index offers a comprehensive snapshot of the market, especially emphasizing the technology sector, which constitutes the largest share of its composition[2][6]. It is capitalization-weighted, meaning companies with larger market capitalizations, such as tech giants Apple, Meta, and Microsoft, have a greater impact on the index’s value[1][2][3]. The Nasdaq Composite’s unique focus on technology and growth-oriented companies distinguishes it from other major indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the S&P 500. This emphasis reflects the index’s role as a barometer for innovation-driven sectors, including information technology, biotechnology, and telecommunications[2][7]. It includes a wide variety of eligible securities such as common stocks, American depositary receipts (ADRs), real estate investment trusts (REITs), and tracking stocks, but excludes derivatives like preferred stocks and ETFs[2][4][6]. Over its history, the Nasdaq Composite has become a critical benchmark for investors and fund managers seeking exposure to high-growth companies and technology trends. While investors cannot directly purchase the index, they can invest in mutual funds and ETFs designed to track its performance, such as Fidelity’s ONEQ and Invesco’s QQQ ETF, the latter tracking the closely related Nasdaq-100 index[3][2]. The index’s value fluctuates daily based on the market performance of its constituents, and it serves as a vital tool for measuring the health of the tech sector and broader market sentiment. Currently, the Nasdaq Composite remains a dynamic and influential index, with a market value exceeding 22,000 points as of late 202

G20 summit

The **G20 Summit** is a premier international forum comprising 19 major economies and two regional organizations—the European Union and the African Union—that collectively represent about **85% of global GDP, over 75% of international trade, and approximately two-thirds of the world’s population**[1][2]. Established in 1999 initially as a meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors, the G20 evolved into an annual summit of heads of state and government starting in 2008, in response to the global financial crisis, to foster international economic cooperation[4]. The G20’s primary focus is to address critical global economic and financial issues by promoting policy coordination among developed and developing nations. Unlike many international organizations, the G20 does **not have a permanent secretariat**; instead, its **Presidency rotates annually among member countries**, which shapes the summit’s agenda based on current global economic developments and regional priorities. The Presidency is supported by a “troika” consisting of the current, immediate past, and next host countries, ensuring continuity[1][2]. Key achievements include setting frameworks for global financial reform post-2008 crisis, advancing tax transparency, combating tax evasion, and addressing issues such as climate change, sustainable development, and digital economy governance[4]. The G20 has also broadened its agenda to include topics like food security, energy transition, disaster resilience, and innovation, reflecting its expanding role in addressing complex global challenges. The upcoming **2025 G20 Johannesburg Summit** is particularly notable as the first held on the African continent, marking a historic “African Moment.” South Africa’s presidency (December 2024–November 2025) centers on the theme **“Solidarity, Equality, Sustainability,”** emphasizing inclusive growth, fair opportunity, and sustainable development aligned with the UN Agenda 2030. South Africa aims to advance priorities such as debt sustainability for low-income countries, mobilizing finance for a just energy transition, and leveraging critical minerals for inclusive

Shanghai Composite

The Shanghai Composite Index, commonly referred to as the SSE Composite Index, is a pivotal stock market index that tracks the performance of all A and B shares listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE), the largest stock exchange in mainland China. Established in July 1991 with a base value of 100, this index provides a comprehensive overview of the Chinese stock market, serving as a benchmark for investors and analysts worldwide[1][2][3]. ### History and Development Launched on July 15, 1991, the Shanghai Composite Index was designed to reflect the overall performance of the Shanghai securities market, marking a significant milestone in China's capital market development[5]. Over the years, the index has evolved to include a diverse range of industries such as finance, technology, and consumer goods, ensuring a balanced representation of the Chinese economy[4]. ### Key Achievements and Role As a capitalization-weighted index, the Shanghai Composite emphasizes the market influence of larger companies, making it a crucial indicator of market trends and economic conditions in China[1][4]. It is widely used for forecasting and economic analysis, supporting regulatory and policy decisions[2]. Despite its importance, it is noted that the index may not fully reflect the overall Chinese economy due to the presence of non-traded state-owned enterprises[1]. ### Current Status and Notable Aspects Currently, the Shanghai Composite Index consists of over 1,500 companies, with constituents reviewed semi-annually based on market capitalization and liquidity[1]. The index is calculated using a market capitalization-weighted method, ensuring that larger companies have a greater impact on its performance[4]. Notably, the SSE hosts several of the world's largest companies, including the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China[3]. As a global financial hub, the Shanghai Composite plays a significant role in influencing national and international economic trends[3].

Shenzhen Composite

The **Shenzhen Composite** refers to the **SZSE Composite Index**, which represents the overall performance of all stocks listed on the **Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE)**, one of China's major stock exchanges. The SZSE Composite is a key financial indicator tracking the market capitalization and price movements of a broad range of companies listed on the SZSE, reflecting the health and trends of the Chinese capital market in Shenzhen[2]. The **Shenzhen Stock Exchange** itself was founded on December 1, 1990, as part of China's move to adopt market-oriented reforms within its socialist economy. Its establishment was initially controversial but was supported by Deng Xiaoping, who viewed the stock market as a tool worth experimenting with to enhance economic modernization. Over time, the SZSE evolved into a major financial hub, becoming the world's sixth-largest stock exchange by market capitalization, valued at over US$4.4 trillion as of mid-2024[1]. SZSE is headquartered in the Futian district of Shenzhen and operates a multi-tiered market structure. Originally, it had a Main Board and a Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) Board launched in 2004. In 2009, the ChiNext Board was introduced to support high-growth startups and innovative enterprises. In 2021, the SME Board was merged with the Main Board, streamlining the market[1][3]. Currently, the SZSE hosts about 2,880 listed companies with over 21,000 listed securities, and its total stock market value exceeds RMB 43 trillion (approximately US$6 trillion) as of late 2025, underscoring its critical role in China's financial ecosystem[4]. The SZSE Composite Index offers investors a comprehensive benchmark for the Shenzhen market, encompassing diverse sectors ranging from technology and manufacturing to consumer goods. Notably, the SZSE is distinguished by its focus on innovation-driven and high-tech companies, especially throug

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