Shockwaves in the Market: September Jobs Report Reveals Economic Struggle

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#economy #jobs report #federal reserve

Shockingly bad jobs report reveals a months-long stall and may trigger Fed rate cuts soon. 'Powell is going to regret holding rates steady' - Fortune

Introduction

The latest jobs report has sent shockwaves through the market, revealing a months-long stall in economic growth. With the Federal Reserve holding off on rate cuts, many are now predicting that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may soon regret his decision.

Key Details

The September jobs report showed a significant slowdown in job growth, with only 136,000 jobs added to the economy. This is far below the expected 145,000 jobs, and a steep decline from the previous month's 168,000. This is a clear indication that the economy is struggling and could potentially push the Fed to make a move.

The recent trade tensions with China have also taken a toll on the economy, with manufacturing and business investment taking a hit. This has led many experts to believe that a rate cut is inevitable in order to stimulate growth and offset the negative effects of the trade war.

Impact

The disappointing jobs report, along with other economic indicators, have increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in the near future. In fact, some are predicting a 50-basis-point cut in September to make up for lost time. This would be a significant shift from the Fed's previous stance of holding steady on interest rates.

The impact of a rate cut would not only affect the stock market, but also have far-reaching effects on businesses and consumers. The

About the People Mentioned

Jerome Powell

Jerome H. Powell is the Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the central bank of the United States, a position he has held since February 2018 following his initial appointment by President Donald Trump and subsequent reappointment by President Joe Biden for a second four-year term in May 2022[2][5]. He also chairs the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed’s principal monetary policymaking body[2]. Powell’s tenure spans some of the most significant economic challenges in recent U.S. history, including the post-Great Recession recovery and the financial fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic[3][6]. Born on February 4, 1953, in Washington, D.C., Powell holds an AB in politics from Princeton University (1975) and a law degree from Georgetown University (1979), where he was editor-in-chief of the Georgetown Law Journal[2]. His career before the Fed included roles as a lawyer and investment banker in New York City, a partner at The Carlyle Group (1997–2005), and a visiting scholar at the Bipartisan Policy Center focusing on fiscal issues[2][5]. He served as both Assistant Secretary and Under Secretary of the Treasury under President George H.W. Bush, with responsibilities for financial institutions and the Treasury debt market[2][5]. Powell was first nominated to the Federal Reserve Board by President Barack Obama in 2012 and assumed office in May of that year, later being reappointed for a term ending January 31, 2028[2][8]. As Fed Chair, he initially continued the policy of gradually raising interest rates—a process begun under his predecessor, Janet Yellen—to return monetary policy to more normal levels after the 2007–08 financial crisis[3]. This approach drew criticism from President Trump, who publicly opposed further rate hikes, but Powell maintained that such measures were necessary to prevent inflation and ensure long-term stability[3]. Powell’s leadership was again tested during the COVID-19 pandemic, when he led the Fed in slashing interest rates to near zero, launching emergency lending programs, and purchasing corporate debt to stabilize financial markets—actions that significantly expanded the central bank’s role in the economy[3]. Despite political pressures from both Democratic and Republican administrations, Powell has been praised for his steady, data-driven approach to monetary policy[6]. He resides in Chevy Chase, Maryland, with his wife and three children[6]. As of 2025, Powell remains a central figure in U.S. and global economic policy, overseeing the Fed’s efforts to balance inflation control with support for economic growth amid ongoing uncertainties in the financial landscape[2][5].

About the Organizations Mentioned

Federal Reserve

## Overview and Mission The Federal Reserve, often called the "Fed," is the central bank of the United States, established by Congress in 1913 to provide the nation with a safer, more flexible, and stable monetary and financial system[1]. Its mission centers on a dual mandate from Congress: to promote maximum employment and maintain price stability, ensuring the dollar retains its value over time[1]. The Fed operates through a unique hybrid structure, combining a national Board of Governors in Washington, D.C., with 12 independent regional Reserve Banks, including institutions like the Cleveland Fed[1]. This decentralized setup allows the Fed to closely monitor economic conditions across diverse regions, industries, and communities, while maintaining independence from short-term political influences[1]. ## Key Functions The Fed’s responsibilities are broad and vital to the U.S. economy. It conducts monetary policy—primarily by influencing interest rates—to achieve its employment and inflation goals[2]. The Fed also supervises and regulates banks to ensure the safety and soundness of the financial system, works to minimize systemic risks, and fosters efficient payment and settlement systems[2]. Additionally, it promotes consumer protection and community development, addressing emerging issues through research, supervision, and enforcement of consumer laws[2]. ## History and Evolution The Federal Reserve is the third central bank in U.S. history, following two failed attempts in the 19th century[1]. Its creation was a response to the financial turbulence of the early 20th century, aiming to prevent crises and stabilize the economy. Over time, the Fed has evolved, adopting more transparent and inclusive policymaking processes. For example, it now conducts regular reviews of its monetary policy framework, engaging with academics, businesses, and the public to refine its strategies and communications[3][5]. ## Recent Developments and Achievements In 2025, the Fed completed its second major review of its monetary policy strategy, tools, and communications, reaffirming its commitment to transparenc

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