CBO Predicts Decrease in Immigrants Entering US

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#cbo #immigration #us #trump #republican

1.6M fewer US immigrants expected this year amid Trump, GOP policies, CBO predicts - Politico

Introduction

The latest estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) have predicted a significant decrease in the number of immigrants entering the US this year. This is due to the policies implemented by the Trump administration and the Republican megabill passed in July. The CBO has projected that approximately 1.6 million fewer immigrants will enter the country in the next five years, with 290,000 facing deportation and 30,000 voluntarily leaving.

Key Details

The CBO's analysis takes into account the various policies and measures implemented by the Trump administration, including stricter border control and the travel ban on certain countries. These measures have caused a decrease in the number of immigrant visas issued, leading to a decline in the overall number of immigrants entering the country. In addition, the Republican megabill has made it easier for immigration officials to deport individuals who have been living in the US for an extended period of time, further contributing to the projected decrease in immigrants.

Impact

The predicted decrease in the number of immigrants has raised concerns about the potential consequences on the US economy, as immigrants play a significant role in the country's workforce. Additionally, this decline may also negatively impact the diversity and cultural fabric of the country. The CBO's estimates also highlight the need for a comprehensive and balanced approach towards immigration policies, in order to maintain a healthy and thriving society.

About the Organizations Mentioned

Congressional Budget Office

The **Congressional Budget Office (CBO)** is a nonpartisan federal agency established in 1974 by the Congressional Budget Act to support Congress in budget and economic policy matters. Its core mission is to provide objective, impartial, and professional economic and budgetary analysis to help lawmakers make informed decisions about fiscal policy. The CBO serves as an independent alternative to the executive branch’s Office of Management and Budget, ensuring Congress has its own reliable data and projections[1][2][3][7]. CBO’s primary responsibilities include producing formal cost estimates for nearly every bill approved by congressional committees and publishing key reports such as the annual *Budget and Economic Outlook*. This flagship report offers baseline budgetary and economic projections over a 10-year horizon, assuming current laws remain unchanged. The agency also conducts analyses of the economic impacts of proposed federal spending and tax policies, aiding Congress in understanding long-term fiscal effects and budget deficits[1][3][5]. Since its inception, the CBO has become a critical institution in the U.S. budget process, recognized for its rigorous methodology and nonpartisan stance. It employs experts in economics and public policy who draw on a wide range of data, forecasting models, and external expert advice to maintain accuracy and credibility. The agency has adapted to the digital age by enhancing its publication and digital media divisions to better communicate its findings to both legislators and the public[3]. Currently, the CBO continues to provide vital analysis amid complex economic conditions, such as assessing the federal deficit, tax revenue changes, and spending trends. It remains strictly neutral, never making policy recommendations, but offering transparent methodologies that underpin its analyses[5][7]. For stakeholders in business and technology news, the CBO’s work is essential for understanding how fiscal decisions may influence economic growth, innovation funding, and federal investment priorities.

Trump Administration

The **Trump Administration** refers to the executive branch of the United States government under President Donald J. Trump, covering two non-consecutive periods: his first term from 2017 to 2021 and his second term beginning in 2025. As an organization, it is responsible for executing federal laws, shaping public policy, and managing national affairs during its tenure. During the **first Trump Administration (2017–2021)**, the administration pursued a wide-ranging agenda focused on immigration reform, economic nationalism, deregulation, judiciary appointments, and foreign policy shifts. Key actions included building and expanding the U.S.-Mexico border wall—completing 458 miles by January 2021—and implementing strict immigration policies such as travel bans from several predominantly Muslim countries and rescinding the DAPA amnesty program[2]. The administration withdrew the U.S. from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, renegotiated NAFTA into the USMCA, and signed the "Buy American and Hire American" executive order to prioritize American workers[1][3][5]. Judicially, Trump appointed three Supreme Court justices—Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett—significantly influencing the federal judiciary with over 200 judicial appointments[5]. The administration also focused on military expansion, combating ISIS, addressing the opioid crisis, and responding to the COVID-19 pandemic with vaccine development support[5]. Foreign policy was marked by controversial decisions including troop withdrawals from northern Syria, reinforced support for Saudi Arabia, and tensions with Iran and North Korea[4]. The administration faced two impeachments: first in 2019 over Ukraine dealings and again in 2021 following the January Capitol riot; Trump was acquitted by the Senate both times[4][5]. After losing the 2020 election, Trump returned for a **second term starting in 2025**, continuing his policy priorities with new regulatory changes and political appointments[6][8]. The Trump Administration

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