Ancient Greenland Ice Signals Urgent Sea-Level Warnings for 2100

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#climate #greenland #sea_level #ice

Scientists just got some ancient clues about future sea-level rise — and it’s bad news - The Washington Post

Ancient Clues from Greenland's Ice Reveal Dire Sea-Level Warnings

Scientists have unearthed alarming evidence from Greenland's Prudhoe Dome, a 500-meter-thick ice cap that completely melted around 7,000 years ago during the Holocene epoch. Drilling deep into the ice sheet, researchers discovered sun-bleached sediments last exposed to sunlight between 6,000 and 8,200 years ago, proving the dome vanished under summers 3-5°C warmer than today—conditions climate models predict by 2100.[1][2]

How the Past Informs Our Future

This breakthrough from the GreenDrill project, co-led by the University at Buffalo, used luminescence dating on ancient bedrock to rewrite ice history. Previously thought stable for longer, Prudhoe Dome's sensitivity highlights Greenland's vulnerability. Even mild warming during humanity's early farming era erased it, suggesting rapid retreat could recur amid human-induced change, potentially raising seas by tens of centimeters to a meter.[3][4]

Urgent Implications for Coastal World

As ice sheets like Prudhoe Dome thin, global forecasts sharpen, urging better mapping of past retreats. This isn't distant history—it's a preview of accelerating melt, coastal flooding, and disrupted ecosystems if emissions persist. More drilling across Greenland is essential to refine predictions and spur action.[5][6]

About the Organizations Mentioned

GreenDrill project

**GreenDrill** is a collaborative scientific research project investigating the sensitivity of the northern Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) to past Arctic warming, by drilling through ice to sample underlying bedrock and analyze cosmogenic nuclides for exposure histories.[1][4][7] This work aims to reveal when the ice sheet shrank dramatically or vanished—such as during warm periods ~400,000 and ~100,000 years ago—providing critical data to model future melt rates and sea-level rise contributions from the GrIS, which holds ~7.4 meters of equivalent sea level.[2][4][6] Launched around 2020 with a $3 million NSF research grant plus $4 million in field support, GreenDrill unites experts from Penn State, Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (lead PI Joerg Schaefer), University at Buffalo (Jason Briner), and others like University at Buffalo and UMass Amherst.[1][3][4] Field campaigns kicked off in 2021, targeting four northern Greenland transects from ice-free edges inland, coring through 20–500+ meters of ice to recover sediments and bedrock at sites like Prudhoe Dome, ASIG, Winkie, and NEGIS.[1][2][3] Techniques include seismic/radar surveys, Winkie drilling, and isotopic analysis (e.g., 10Be, IRSL, Cl-36) to pinpoint ice-free intervals.[3][6] Key achievements include 2023–2024 successes: 7.5m ASIG core under 502m ice (3m sediment, 4.5m bedrock); Winkie recoveries of 2m sediment at Prudhoe and 0.8–6.3m at NEGIS; plus geochronology and modeling advances exploring the basal zone as a climate archive.[3] As of recent updates, the project th

University at Buffalo

The **University at Buffalo (UB)**, New York State's flagship public research university and a member of the prestigious Association of American Universities (AAU) since 1989, drives innovation in **business**, **technology**, and beyond through its 13 schools and colleges, including top-ranked programs in **management**, **engineering**, and **pharmaceutical sciences**[1][2][5]. Founded in 1846 as a small medical school by a group including future U.S. President Millard Fillmore—one of only two universities established by presidents—UB evolved into SUNY's largest and most comprehensive institution, spanning three campuses (North, South, Downtown) across 1,172 acres with 197 buildings**[1][2].** It now offers over 500 degree programs: 140+ bachelor's, 220+ master's, 95+ doctorates, and 55 combined options, emphasizing research, experiential learning, and a 12:1 student-faculty ratio**[1][2]. UB excels in **research funding** ($540 million annually), boasting the SUNY system's largest endowment and grants like $47.5 million from the National Science Foundation and $65.1 million from NIH for clinical science**[2].** Its **Jacobs School of Management** ranks 54th among public universities (88th nationally), while **Engineering and Applied Sciences** is 33rd public (57th overall), fostering corporate partnerships, co-ops, and tech ventures**[4][5].** The university's ROI exceeds $1.2 million over 30 years, with 94% graduate employability**[2][3]. Recent accolades highlight UB's momentum: tied for **36th among public universities** (75th nationally) in 2026 U.S. News rankings—up 22 spots—and **410th globally** in QS 2026 (top NY public, 33rd U.

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